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Mallorca skyline
CONDITIONAL BUY
SpainMay 25, 2026

Mallorca

Investment Analysis Report

72% confidenceMEDIUM risk

Under500K.ai rates Mallorca, Spain as CONDITIONAL BUY with 72% confidence. The market offers 4.4% gross rental yield with medium risk for foreign investors seeking properties under $500K.

Investment Scorecard

B+
Optimal Exit
7 yrs
A
Market Phase
EXPANSION
A
Vacancy Rate
5.0%
A
12-Mo Price Forecast
+5.0%
A
U5K Livability
80/100
B+
Sentiment Score
58/100

City Profile

Mallorca offers a premium Mediterranean lifestyle with strong expat appeal, excellent internet/fiber infrastructure, and vibrant tourism-driven demand, making it attractive for foreign investors under $500k seeking lifestyle properties. However, strict short-term rental regulations, seasonal tourism peaks, and recent national infrastructure disruptions require careful due diligence on licensing and long-term tenancy strategies. Golden Visa eligibility supports residency pathways despite moderate investor-friendliness amid tightening housing rules.

Mediterranean climate with over 300 sunny days annually, mild winters (10-15°C), hot dry summers (25-30°C), occasional winter storms

Infrastructure:
Power
7/10

Generally reliable but national Iberian blackout April 2025 affected mainland (Balearics largely unaffected); follow-up telecom outage May 2025; solar backups common in luxury properties

Water
8/10

Safe to drink in urban areas; island faces seasonal drought pressures but EU standards met

Internet
9/10

150 Mbps • 90% fiber

Transit
7/10

Good bus network, limited train lines (e.g., to inland towns), excellent Palma airport connectivity; no full metro system

Labor & Economy:
Maintenance

MODERATE

Handyman Rate

$35/hr

Construction vs US

65%

Coworking

Available

Tourism-driven economy with growing digital nomad presence; coworking available in Palma; recent regulatory tightening on rentals impacts property management

Lifestyle:
Nightlife

VIBRANT

Expat Community

LARGE

English

MODERATE

BeachesHiking in Serra de TramuntanaCyclingSailingGolfDiving

Excellent Mediterranean cuisine with fresh seafood, local produce, international options in Palma and tourist areas; vibrant restaurant and tapas scene

Tenant Seasonality:
Peak Months

May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep

Low Months

Nov, Jan, Feb

Seasonal Variance

40%

Year-Round Demand

No

Summer touristsDigital nomadsExpatsSeasonal workers
Governance:
Stability

STABLE

Investor Friendliness

MODERATE

Corruption Index

62/100

Investor Policies:
  • Golden Visa for €500k real estate investment
Recent Changes:
  • Tightened short-term rental licensing and moratoriums in apartment buildings (2025-2026)
  • National rent caps and seasonal lease restrictions in stressed zones
  • Mandatory registration for tourist rentals
Development Pipeline:
ProjectTypeCompletionImpact
Fiber optic rollout to rural areasOTHER2027POSITIVE
Palma Airport upgrades and connectivity improvementsAIRPORT2028POSITIVE

Livability Index

80.4/100
A-u5k Livability Index

Mallorca earns an A- u5k score as a top-tier expansion market for foreign investors under $500k. Excellent healthcare/education, attractive climate, and 5-7% yields with constrained supply make it compelling for rentals and appreciation, though foreign ownership costs and tourism dependence require careful structuring.

79
safetyStreet safety sentiment: 75/100 (safe feeling).
80
climateMild Mediterranean (300+ sunny days); hot summers, mild winters; strong migration/retiree appeal
88
healthcareAI estimate: Access to Spain's excellent public healthcare system. (AI-estimated)
85
investment5-7% gross yields; 5-13% annual appreciation (2021-2025); limited supply supports prices; $500k buys 80-120m² in target areas
82
cost of living23-42% below US averages (Numbeo/Expatistan data); supports strong cash flow margins for rentals
78
infrastructureGood fiber/5G rollout (up to 10Gbps projects), roads, and Palma transit; island logistics add minor constraints
76
economic vitalityTourism-driven with 2.6-3.5% job growth; unemployment ~7.8-13.8% (seasonal, Q1 peaks); strong foreign/professional demand
Best For:
  • Cash flow rental investors
  • Foreign expat buyers seeking appreciation + lifestyle
  • Long-term hold with seasonal income
Watch Out:
  • High foreign buyer taxes and bureaucracy
  • Seasonal vacancy fluctuations
  • Short-term rental licensing rules in tourist zones

Sentiment Analysis

  • Sentiment score: 58/100
  • Rating: NEUTRAL
  • Cautious neutral with growth potential tempered by affordability limits, local tensions, and budget constraints for fore
58/100
NEUTRAL42 posts analyzed
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Healthcare

Mallorca offers excellent healthcare viability for foreign real estate investors and expats under a $500k budget, with top-tier public infrastructure backed by premium private options in Palma. Private insurance (~$60+/month) is strongly recommended for shorter waits, English-speaking staff, and specialist access to support long-term residency or property management. Overall system reliability is high, with strong outcomes and expat-friendly private facilities making it a low-risk healthcare environment for investment decisions.

Score: 88/100Excellent

Spain operates a universal public healthcare system (Sistema Nacional de Salud - SNS) that is decentralized to autonomous communities like the Balearics. It provides high-quality, tax-funded care with near-universal coverage for residents (free or low co-pays). Spain ranks highly globally (e.g., top in life expectancy; ~19th in 2024 World Index of Healthcare Innovation). Private options supplement for faster access. Expats can access public care via residency/social security contributions or Convenio Especial (~€60-157/month); private insurance is popular for convenience.

Top Hospitals:
Hospital Universitari Son EspasesPublic
hospitalsonespases.es
Clínica Rotger (Quirónsalud)Private • Expat-friendly
clinicarotger.com
Hospital Quirónsalud PalmaplanasPrivate • Expat-friendly
quironsalud.com
Private Consult: $80Insurance: $60/mo

International Schools

Mallorca offers an excellent selection of international schools, making it highly suitable for foreign investor families with school-age children. Top options like Agora Portals, Queen's College, and Baleares International College provide strong British/IB curricula in English with competitive tuition, primarily located in the southwest near Palma—aligning well with expat investment neighborhoods under a $500k budget. The island's established expat community and school quality support long-term family relocation.

ExcellentScore: 88/100
Top International Schools:
#1 Agora Portals International School1-18 (Nursery to Baccalaureate)
IB
~$8,500/year
portals.agorainternationalschool.es
#2 Queen's College3-18
British, IB
~$8,300/year
queenscollege.es (or search Queen's College Mallorca)
#3 Baleares International College (BIC)3-18
British
~$9,800/year
balearesint.net

Executive Summary

Investment Verdict

Conditional Buy with 72% confidence for a foreign investor under $500k. Positive cash flows (median ~$850/month), 4.3-5.9% gross yields, and 5%+ price growth in an expansion market support a hybrid cash-flow/appreciation play in Palma suburbs or southwest coast. The single most important reason is strong tourism/expat demand offset by high regulatory uncertainty (pending non-EU tax proposal and strict short-term rental moratorium), making it suitable only with licensed long-term rentals and professional structuring.

City Overview

Mallorca delivers a premium Mediterranean lifestyle with reliable power (score 7, solar backups common), high-quality water (score 8), and excellent fiber internet (score 9, 90% coverage, 150 Mbps avg). The climate features 300+ sunny days, mild winters (10-15°C), and hot summers (25-30°C). Lifestyle appeal is vibrant with beaches, hiking (Serra de Tramuntana), sailing, golf, and an excellent food scene of fresh seafood and tapas. Large expat community (especially German, British, Northern European) with moderate English proficiency. Business environment is tourism-driven with growing digital-nomad coworking in Palma; digital-nomad infrastructure is solid. Owning property here offers easy airport connectivity, good public transit, and a safe (low crime), A- livability score ideal for seasonal or long-term stays.

Tenant Demand & Seasonality

Primary tenants are summer tourists, digital nomads, expats, and seasonal workers. Peak months May-September drive strong short-term demand; low season November-February sees 40% variance and higher vacancy risk. Year-round demand is not fully realistic without focusing on long-term rentals in Palma outskirts or expat-favored southwest areas (Santa Ponsa/Palmanova). Low overall vacancy (~5%) supports consistent occupancy for compliant properties.

Governance & Investor Climate

Political stability is stable with moderate investor-friendliness. Foreign buyers face no ownership restrictions and qualify for Golden Visa at €500k. Recent changes include tightened short-term rental licensing, national rent caps, and mandatory tourist-registration. Corruption perception is moderate (score 62). Double-tax treaties help optimize income/gains, but monitor the un-enacted 100% supplementary transfer tax proposal for non-EU/non-residents.

Development Pipeline

Positive projects include ongoing fiber rollout to rural areas (completion 2027, positive impact island-wide) and Palma Airport upgrades (completion 2028, boosting connectivity for Palma and surrounding neighborhoods). Limited new residential supply due to bureaucracy supports existing prices but constrains inventory under $500k.

Key Risks

  • Regulatory (HIGH): Pending 100% transfer tax proposal for non-EU buyers and strict short-term rental moratorium (fines €5k-€500k) could materially increase costs or block income strategies.
  • Currency (MEDIUM): 8.5% EUR/USD volatility creates FX mismatch risk for USD-based investors on mortgages and income.
  • Market (MEDIUM): Tourism dependence leads to seasonal fluctuations; high foreign-buyer concentration (30-33%) risks local backlash or cooling.
  • Financial (MEDIUM): 10-13% purchase taxes plus 60-70% LTV limits erode equity; rate hikes could turn cash flow negative.
  • Liquidity (LOW): Solid transaction volumes but island location may extend selling times in downturns.

Action Items

  1. Engage a specialized lawyer (e.g., Advocate Abroad or Pellicer & Heredia) immediately for NIE, POA, and due diligence on the pending tax proposal before any offer.
  2. Secure mortgage pre-approval from Banco Santander or CaixaBank (target 60-70% LTV) and stress-test at 5-6% rates with 30-40% down payment.
  3. Prioritize properties with existing long-term rental tenants or compliant ETV licenses in Playa de Palma or Santa Ponsa/Palmanova; avoid unlicensed short-term strategies.
  4. Budget 8-13% for taxes/fees and retain a property manager (e.g., Blue Mar or Herzog) for remote oversight and licensing compliance.
  5. Monitor Balearic legislative updates through Q2 2026 and conduct in-person or virtual viewings of 3-5 shortlisted 2BR apartments under $450k.

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Market Analysis

  • Market phase: EXPANSION
  • Mallorca's market remains in expansion with steady 5-7% annual price growth driven by tourism and foreign demand; $500k budget allows purchase of 80-120 m² apartments in non-prime areas (e.
  • Vacancy rate: 5%

Mallorca's market remains in expansion with steady 5-7% annual price growth driven by tourism and foreign demand; $500k budget allows purchase of 80-120 m² apartments in non-prime areas (e.g., Palma outskirts or north). Attractive 5-7% gross yields from long-term and short-term rentals, though foreign buyers face 8-12% transfer taxes and must obtain NIE. Limited supply and strong demand support further appreciation through 2026.

Market Phase: EXPANSION
Vacancy: 5%
12-Mo Forecast: +5%
Demand Drivers:
Tourism and holiday home demandExpats, digital nomads, and foreign investorsStrong rental market from professionals and seasonal visitors
Top Neighborhoods:
Palma (secondary/outer areas)$4500/m² · 6.2% yield
Alcudia / North$4200/m² · 6% yield
Central Mallorca (e.g., Manacor area)$4000/m² · 5.8% yield
5-Year Price Trend:
2021
+8%
2022
+10%
2023
+13%
2024
+7%
2025
+5%
Supply: Limited new developments due to bureaucracy and high construction costs; new builds now ~17% of listings with modest increases in southeast and Palma areas. Overall constrained supply supporting prices.

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Neighbourhood Scorecards

Playa de Palma / Llevant (High Yield)

Tier 1
$300K

Premium

Santa Ponsa / Palmanova (Balanced)

Tier 2
$400K

Premium

Son Vida / Central Palma (Premium)

Tier 3
$450K

Premium

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Comparable Properties

Mallorca offers solid investment options under $500K, especially 2BR apartments in Palma suburbs and southwest coast. High-yield areas deliver 5.5-7% gross yields with entry prices ~$300K; balanced zones provide 4.5-5.5% with lifestyle appeal; premium locations emphasize stability over yield. Island-wide apartment prices average ~€4,800-5,500/m² (~$5,200-6,000 USD/m²) as of 2026, with rents for typical 2BR units €1,400-1,900/month. Foreign buyers should note short-term rental regulations and focus on long-term or compliant holiday lets. Data synthesized from Idealista, Engel & Völkers, and local market reports.

Avg Price:$5,000/m²

5 comparable properties available

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Financial Analysis

  • Gross yield: 4.4%
  • Cap rate: 4%
  • Break-even: 5 years

Mallorca offers viable under-$500K 2BR apartment investments (75-130 m²) in Palma suburbs and southwest/north areas with median entry ~$432K and gross yields 4.3-5.9%. Strong tourism/expats drive 5%+ price growth and low 5% vacancy; foreign buyers face 10% avg purchase tax + 19% income tax but can buy remotely via POA/NIE. Aggregated from 5 comps: median rent $1,600/mo supports positive cashflow even after expenses/mortgage at 4% rates. Premium zones favor appreciation; high-yield suburbs maximize income. Personal ownership optimal; professional advice required for taxes/licenses.

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Financing Options

  • Mortgage: Available
  • Max LTV: 70%
  • Rate: 4%

Mortgages are readily available for foreign non-resident investors in Mallorca at up to 70% LTV (conservative 60% common for non-EU buyers), with rates around 3-5% (fixed/variable) as of 2025-2026 data. Requires NIE, proof of income (min. ~€2,000-2,500/month net), and strong credit. Down payment 30-40% + 10-13% purchase costs/taxes. Equity access (HELOC/cash-out refi) is limited for non-residents. Pre-approval essential; consult broker for exact terms. Deal breakers: Currency mismatch and lower LTV vs. residents.

Mortgage

Available

Max LTV

70%

Rate

4%

Down Payment

30%

Recommended Banks:
  • Banco Santander - Dedicated non-resident mortgage products and easy online account opening with passport
  • CaixaBank - Popular with foreigners; competitive for Balearics properties
  • BBVA - Offers non-resident financing; good service for international clients
  • Banca March - Strong presence in Balearic Islands, targets higher-net-worth foreign buyers
  • Banco Sabadell - Non-resident accounts and mortgages available
Alternative Financing:
  • Developer financing (common for new builds, often 50-70% LTV at slightly higher rates)
  • Private lending / mortgage brokers (Lionsgate Capital and similar Mallorca specialists access 30+ banks)

Bank Account Setup: Non-residents can open basic accounts remotely or with passport (e.g., Santander online account). Full services typically require NIE (foreigner tax ID, obtainable in Spain or via consulate). Timeline: 1-4 weeks; proof of address/income often needed. Major banks like Santander, BBVA, CaixaBank recommended.

Currency: Mortgages issued in EUR. Significant FX risk if rental income or personal income is in USD or other currencies. Multi-currency accounts available at major banks but conversion fees apply. Monitor EUR/USD volatility.

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Risk Assessment

  • Overall risk: MEDIUM
  • Key risks: REGULATORY, CURRENCY, MARKET

Mallorca presents a MEDIUM overall risk profile for foreign investors under $500k, supported by positive cash flows (median $850/mo), 4.3-5.9% yields, and resilient tourism demand, but tempered by high regulatory uncertainty (pending tax and rental rules), FX exposure, and purchase cost drag. Strong macro backdrop and A- livability offset some concerns, yet stress scenarios highlight material downside. Professional legal/tax advice and pre-approvals essential before proceeding.

Overall Risk:MEDIUM
HIGHREGULATORY

Pending (un enacted) 100% supplementary transfer tax proposal for non-EU/non-resident buyers on resale properties; strict short-term rental licensing requirements in Balearics with fines for non-compliance; 3% withholding on sale proceeds for non-residents.

Mitigation: Monitor legislative developments closely; prioritize long-term rentals or obtain required licenses early; use professional legal counsel for structuring and compliance; consider personal ownership to minimize additional corporate risks.

MEDIUMCURRENCY

EUR mortgages and income with 8.5% volatility vs USD; significant FX mismatch risk for US investors whose income/rentals are in USD.

Mitigation: Use multi-currency accounts where available; hedge FX exposure if possible; model scenarios with conservative EUR/USD assumptions; focus on EUR-denominated cash flows.

MEDIUMMARKET

Tourism-dependent economy (seasonal vacancy fluctuations); moderate price growth outlook (3-5% expected); potential oversupply or correction in secondary locations; high foreign buyer concentration (30-33% of transactions).

Mitigation: Target high-demand Palma suburbs or southwest coast with proven rental demand; diversify between long-term and licensed short-term rentals; focus on resilient micro-locations with expat/tourism appeal.

MEDIUMFINANCIAL

Conservative 60-70% LTV for non-residents at ~4% rates; 10-13% purchase taxes erode equity; interest rate sensitivity (1-3% hikes reduce cash flow); limited equity access for non-residents.

Mitigation: Secure pre-approval from banks like Banco Santander or CaixaBank; maintain 30-40%+ down payment buffer; stress-test at higher rates; consider all-cash or developer financing for flexibility.

LOWLIQUIDITY

Popular destination with solid transaction volumes for foreign buyers; however, island location and seasonal factors could extend time-to-sell in downturns.

Mitigation: Target liquid segments (apartments in Palma areas); plan 6-12 month exit horizon; price realistically based on comps.

Stress Test: Severe stress (20% rent drop, 3% rate hike, 20% vacancy, -10% appreciation)

Monthly cash flow turns negative (~-$200 to -$400); IRR drops significantly or turns negative; forced sale could realize 15-25% capital loss after taxes/fees; recovery 5-7 years in tourism rebound scenario.

Recovery: ~6 years

Recommendation: Buy with caution - suitable for diversified portfolio with strong risk tolerance; prioritize licensed long-term rentals in proven locations and maintain cash reserves for rate/tax shocks. Pass if regulatory/tax changes materialize or FX exposure cannot be managed.

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Local Insights

Mallorca offers strong expansion-phase investment under $500k with 5-7% yields in secondary areas. Limited vetted professionals identified with explicit foreign focus; prioritize those with remote/POA experience and English support. Personal ownership recommended. All listed have active websites and positive indicators for international clients.

Sandberg Estates

Foreign buyers, investment properties, holiday homes

Explicit focus on international and foreign investors with seamless buying process support; multilingual team experienced in Mallorca market.

sandberg-estates.com

DAHLER Mallorca

Luxury and investment properties for international clients

Specializes in personalized service for discerning international buyers; strong track record in Mallorca with emphasis on avoiding pitfalls for overseas purchasers.

dahlercompany.com

Porta Mallorquina Real Estate

Resale and investment properties across Mallorca

Established local presence with positive mentions for serving foreign clients; good reviews in expat communities.

portamallorquina.com

List your company here

Reach foreign investors actively researching this market

[email protected]
Engagement Tips:

Engage a lawyer early for NIE and POA to enable fully remote purchase. Verify all professionals are licensed (e.g., via Colegio de Agentes de la Propiedad Inmobiliaria for brokers). Request English-speaking contacts and references from foreign clients. Monitor Balearic short-term rental licensing rules. Use double-tax treaties for optimization. Budget 8-12% for purchase taxes/fees.

Local Real Estate Listing Websites:
🔗
Idealista

Largest property portal in Spain with extensive Mallorca listings

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Renovation Costs

Mallorca renovation costs are significantly below US averages due to lower labor and material prices (COL index ~0.58). Light cosmetic updates focus on finishes; moderate includes kitchens/baths; full covers systems and layout changes. All ranges incorporate 15% contingency and are in USD for 2026.

Light Cosmetic
$22K – $45K
medium
Moderate Update
$45K – $85K
medium
Full Renovation
$90K – $160K
medium
Cost Index vs US:58%(numbeo.com, 2026-05)
Cost Breakdown:
Category% of TotalNotes
Labor45%ESTIMATED based on COL index
Materials35%Based on regional price index
Permits5%ESTIMATED; typical Spanish municipal fees
Contingency15%Standard buffer
Estimates for typical 75-95 m² apartments; actual costs vary by property condition and scope

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Short-Term Rental Policy

STR (ETV tourist license) only legal on properties with pre-existing valid licenses. Island-wide moratorium on new licenses since 2022 remains in effect into 2026 (at least Feb 2026, longer/indefinite in Palma). National NRU registration mandatory since July 2025. Zoning quotas and saturated zones apply; high fines for unlicensed operation.

RESTRICTIVEScore: 2/10
Regulatory Checklist:
STR Legal?
License Required?Yes
Day CapVaries by zone (e.g., 60 days/year in saturated/main-residence areas; unlimited in some others) days/year
Owner Occupancy Required?No
ZoningStrict zoning quotas, saturated zones, environmental capacity limits; apartments in multi-family buildings heavily restricted or banned in Palma
Platform Collects Tax?Yes (null%)
Foreign Investor Notes: Same rules as residents; no additional residency or ownership restrictions noted for non-residents. Only viable via purchase of property with existing valid ETV (these command 15-25% premium). Property manager can assist with compliance but license is property-tied. Max 3 licenses per person.
Penalties:
  • First offense: From €5,000+; up to €40,000–€80,000+ per unit or higher
  • Repeat: Up to €500,000; license revocation, platform delisting
Pending Legislation: WARNING: Moratorium status uncertain after Feb 2026; new government actions or reviews may lift or extend restrictions. Palma indefinite freeze on new licenses as of Feb 2026.

Most recent: Imperial Properties guide (Apr 2026); Benavides Asociados (Jan 2026); Multiple 2025-2026 analyses confirming ongoing moratorium

Oldest source: 2025 reports on NRU implementation and Balearic Decree-Law

Confidence: high

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Exit Strategy

  • Optimal hold: 7 years
  • Strategy: Medium Hold
  • Liquidity: GOOD

Recommend 7-year medium hold for under-$500K Mallorca apartments to capture 5%+ annual appreciation while managing 19% non-resident CGT. Strong liquidity supports easy exit in tourism-driven market; prioritize tax-efficient structuring and monitor regulatory risks for foreign investors.

Optimal Hold

7 years

Exit Costs

8%

Liquidity

GOOD

Avg Days on Market

45

Exit Scenarios:
StrategyTimelineRiskNet ReturnAppreciation
Quick Flip3 yrsHIGH6%15%
Medium Hold5 yrsMEDIUM15%25%
Balanced Exit7 yrsLOW22%40%
Long-term Hold10 yrsLOW35%60%
Exit Signals to Watch:
  • Interest rates rising above 5%
  • New supply exceeding demand in mid-market segments
  • Changes to foreign buyer taxes or short-term rental rules
Recommended Strategy: MEDIUM HOLD

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Returns

Gross Yield
4.4%
Net Yield
3.5%
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
7.8%
IRR (Cash)
8.5%
IRR (Leveraged)
11.2%

Cash Flow

Entry Price
$432K
Monthly CF
$850
Break-even
5 yrs
Optimal Exit
7 yrs

Risk & Feasibility

Risk Level
MEDIUM
Max Loss
25.0%
Sentiment
58/100
Remote Score
9/10
Market Cycle
EXPANSION

Financing

Mortgage
Available
Max LTV
70.0%
Rate
4.0%

Tax & Legal

Foreign Buyer
Allowed
Purchase Tax
10.0%
Income Tax
19.0%
Exit Tax
20.0%
Exit (Optimized)
15.0%

Macro

GDP Growth
2.4%
Central Bank Rate
2.1%
Inflation
3.2%
Currency vs USD
1.1600
12mo Forecast
5.0%

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